Experts on Vladimir Putin’s article in The New York Times
How Vladimir Putin Keeps Protesters at Bay in Russia | The New York Times
Putin reacted positively to Obama’s intention to continue the joint search for a compromise
MOSCOW – Vladimir Putin reacted positively to Barack Obama’s intention to continue the joint search for a compromise to resolve the Syrian crisis and expressed the hope that this would be done by diplomatic methods. The President of the Russian Federation wrote about this in an article published on Wednesday in The New York Times. Russian experts believe that the negotiation process has prospects.
“I welcome the attitude of the American leader to continue the dialogue with Russia on the Syrian issue. We have long called for joint work. Now it is extremely important, through joint efforts, not to let this glimmer of hope go out, as we agreed at the summit. "Big Eight" in Lough Ern, to translate the situation into a negotiation channel, “Putin wrote.
Nikolas Gvosdev, a professor at the US Naval War College, believes that by publishing this article, Vladimir Putin tried to directly appeal to people who influence public opinion in order to personally explain the position of the Russian government..
“In addition, it will allow him to influence the dispute over Syria in the United States,” he used the same arguments against a military strike that are voiced in the United States, thus reinforcing the position of the proponents of this point of view. It is interesting that in just a few days Vladimir Putin changed his image: he turned from a leader who prevents the resolution of the Syrian crisis into a voice of reason, “Gvozdev said..
As you know, Barack Obama yesterday expressed support for Russia’s initiative to transfer under international control the chemical arsenals at the disposal of Bashar al-Assad’s regime, and delegated US Secretary of State John Kerry to Geneva for talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to elaborate on this issue. At the same time, Obama made several significant reservations..
“It is too early to say whether this proposal will succeed, and any agreement must provide for verification that the Assad regime will live up to its commitments,” he said in his address to the nation on Tuesday. “However, this initiative has the potential to eliminate the threat posed by chemical weapons without the use of force, especially since Russia is one of Assad’s strongest allies.”.
With the question of what are the prospects for the resumed negotiation process on Syria and what might hinder it, the Russian service of the Voice of America turned to Russian experts. According to Fyodor Lukyanov, editor-in-chief of Russia in Global Affairs magazine, they are not bad. “But the obstacles that the parties may face are, of course, very great,” he added. – Technically, this whole operation is extremely complex, multi-layered, multifaceted and requires an integrated plan.
It is difficult to implement, especially in the context of the civil war in Syria. ” Among the main obstacles that may arise on the way of the implementation of the Russian initiative, Lukyanov attributed the difficulties with the elaboration of the text of the resolution in the UN Security Council. “Of course, Russia will not support any resolution that will be formulated in an ultimatum. In the meantime, what France has proposed, for example, is rather a desire to make certain demands on Assad, combined with threats, if something goes wrong, to switch to the use of military force, “he stated..
Lukyanov assumes that Russia will never support a document written in this spirit. “It is not yet clear to what extent, say, the United States and Europe are ready to agree to a more neutral resolution,” he continued. “There are many obstacles, but there is a common basic desire to resolve the issue, since it turns out that it is now in the interests of both Russia and America, and, by the way, the Assad regime, because it will get a good opportunity to avoid transferring the war to a completely different qualitative phase.”.
In turn, Pavel Zolotarev, Deputy Director of the Institute of the USA and Canada of the Russian Academy of Sciences, does not see any special obstacles in the way of the negotiation process. “I suppose that obstacles can arise only if the Syrian opposition comes up with some other provocation,” he said. “I don’t see any other obstacles in this case.”.
According to him, the movement is moving in a positive direction..
“It is felt that Obama is not inclined towards a forceful solution. Another thing is that he is being pushed to this by internal reasons. So Russia’s proposal here is very appropriate, logical, and there is a movement towards it, “Zolotarev summed up.
It seems to him that the example of solving the Syrian problem is multifaceted..
“Either we will be able to preserve the fundamental principles of international politics enshrined in the Westphalian system – non-interference in the internal affairs of other countries. Or, if suddenly there is a military intervention, the world will be different. The situation in the Middle East is not only destabilizing. But, in fact, the right to interfere by force in internal affairs, bypassing the UN, will be secured, “he concluded..